Probability Distributions – Cheat Sheet

This page collects common probability distributions with their key properties, moments, likelihood forms, and Bayesian relationships.

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Bernoulli Distribution — Bern(p)

Parameters:

  • $ p \in (0,1) $, probability of success

Support:

  • $ x \in {0,1} $

PMF:
\(P(X=x) = p^x(1-p)^{1-x}\)

MGF / CF:
\(M_X(t) = (1-p) + p e^t\)

Raw Moments:
\(\mathbb{E}[X^k] = p \quad \forall k \ge 1\)

Central Moments:
\(\operatorname{Var}(X) = p(1-p)\)

Exponential Family Form:

  • Base measure: $ h(x)=1 $
  • Sufficient statistic: $ T(x)=x $ (complete, minimal)
  • Natural parameter: $ \eta=\log\frac{p}{1-p} $

Conjugate Prior:

  • Beta

Posterior:

  • Beta

Related Distributions:

  • Binomial, Geometric

Beta Distribution — Beta(α,β)

Parameters:

  • Shape parameters $ \alpha,\beta>0 $

Support:

  • $ x \in (0,1) $

PDF:
\(f(x)=\frac{1}{B(\alpha,\beta)}x^{\alpha-1}(1-x)^{\beta-1}\)

Mean:
\(\mathbb{E}[X]=\frac{\alpha}{\alpha+\beta}\)

Variance:
\(\frac{\alpha\beta}{(\alpha+\beta)^2(\alpha+\beta+1)}\)

MGF / CF:

  • Not useful in closed form

Fisher Information:

  • Involves digamma and polygamma functions

MLE:

  • Intractable (requires numerical methods)

Method of Moments:

  • Available

UMVU Estimators:

  • Known for functions of $ p $

Conjugate Prior For:

  • Bernoulli, Binomial

Binomial Distribution — Bin(n,p)

Parameters:

  • $ n \in \mathbb{N} $, trials
  • $ p \in (0,1) $

Support:

  • $ x=0,1,\dots,n $

PMF:
\(P(X=x)=\binom{n}{x}p^x(1-p)^{n-x}\)

Mean / Variance:
\(\mathbb{E}[X]=np, \quad \operatorname{Var}(X)=np(1-p)\)

MGF:
\(M_X(t) = (1-p+pe^t)^n\)

Exponential Family:

  • Yes

Complete Minimal Sufficient Statistic:

  • $ \sum X_i $

Conjugate Prior:

  • Beta

Posterior:

  • Beta

Convolution:

  • Binomial + Binomial = Binomial

Exponential Distribution — Exp(λ)

Parameters:

  • Rate $ \lambda>0 $

Support:

  • $ x \ge 0 $

PDF:
\(f(x)=\lambda e^{-\lambda x}\)

CDF:
\(1-e^{-\lambda x}\)

Mean / Variance:
\(\mathbb{E}[X]=\frac{1}{\lambda}, \quad \operatorname{Var}(X)=\frac{1}{\lambda^2}\)

MGF:
\(M_X(t)=\frac{\lambda}{\lambda-t}\)

Memoryless:
\(P(X>s+t\mid X>s)=P(X>t)\)

Conjugate Prior:

  • Gamma

Posterior:

  • Gamma

Convolution:

  • Gamma

Gamma Distribution — Gamma(α,β)

Parameters:

  • Shape $ \alpha $, rate $ \beta $

Support:

  • $ x \ge 0 $

PDF:
\(f(x)=\frac{\beta^\alpha}{\Gamma(\alpha)}x^{\alpha-1}e^{-\beta x}\)

Mean / Variance:
\(\frac{\alpha}{\beta}, \quad \frac{\alpha}{\beta^2}\)

MGF:
\(M_X(t)=\left(\frac{\beta}{\beta-t}\right)^\alpha\)

Exponential Family:

  • Yes

Convolutions:

  • Closed under convolution (same rate)

Related:

  • Exponential, Chi-square

Inverse Distribution:

  • Inverse-Gamma

Geometric Distribution — Geom(p)

Parameters:

  • Success probability $ p $

Support:

  • $ x=1,2,\dots $

PMF:
\(P(X=x)=p(1-p)^{x-1}\)

Memoryless:

  • Yes

Mean / Variance:
\(\frac{1}{p}, \quad \frac{1-p}{p^2}\)

Exponential Family:

  • Yes

Conjugate Prior:

  • Beta

Related:

  • Negative Binomial

Negative Binomial Distribution

Parameters:

  • Required successes $ r $, success prob. $ p $

Support:

  • Failures before $ r $ successes

PMF:
\(\binom{x+r-1}{x}p^r(1-p)^x\)

Convolution:

  • Sum of Geometrics

Conjugate Prior:

  • Beta

Normal Distribution — N(μ,σ^2)

Support:

  • $ x \in \mathbb{R} $

PDF:
\(\frac{1}{\sqrt{2\pi\sigma^2}}e^{-(x-\mu)^2/(2\sigma^2)}\)

MGF:
\(M_X(t)=\exp\left(\mu t+\frac{\sigma^2t^2}{2}\right)\)

Moments:

  • All finite

Exponential Family:

  • Yes

Convolution:

  • Closed

Conjugate Prior:

  • Normal-Inverse-Gamma

Poisson Distribution — Pois(λ)

Parameters:

  • Rate $ \lambda>0 $

Support:

  • $ x=0,1,2,\dots $

PMF:
\(P(X=x)=\frac{\lambda^x e^{-\lambda}}{x!}\)

Mean / Variance:
\(\lambda\)

Exponential Family:

  • Yes

Minimal Complete Sufficient Statistic:

  • $ \sum X_i $

Conjugate Prior:

  • Gamma

Posterior:

  • Gamma

Uniform Distribution — Unif(a,b)

Support:

  • $ a \le x \le b $

PDF:
\(\frac{1}{b-a}\)

Mean / Variance:
\(\frac{a+b}{2}, \quad \frac{(b-a)^2}{12}\)

Order Statistics:

  • Closed form

Minimal Sufficient Statistic:

  • $ (\min X_i, \max X_i) $ (not complete)

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